FANDOM


Createicon


by user Awrigh01

According to Intrade, a popular and accurate information market, Rudy Giuliani is leading John McCain in the race for the Republican nomination. For those of you that don't know what an information market, also known as a prediction market, "are speculative markets created for the purpose of making predictions. Assets are created whose final cash value is tied to a particular event (e.g., will the next US president be a Republican) or parameter (e.g., total sales next quarter). The current market prices can then be interpreted as predictions of the probability of the event or the expected value of the parameter. Other names for prediction markets include information markets, decision markets, idea futures, and virtual markets." McCain is trading at 28.1 while Rudy is trading at 33.3. The graphs don't look good for McCain either:

Graph For McCain

File:ClosingChartMcCain.png

Graph for Rudy

File:ClosingChartRudy.png

Any thoughts on why Rudy is pulling ahead?





From The Opinion Wiki, a Wikia wiki.


From The Opinion Wiki, a Wikia wiki.

Ad blocker interference detected!


Wikia is a free-to-use site that makes money from advertising. We have a modified experience for viewers using ad blockers

Wikia is not accessible if you’ve made further modifications. Remove the custom ad blocker rule(s) and the page will load as expected.